Stock Market Next Week

FDAC nikiForeign markets are not reaching new highs along with U.S. stocks. That is an ominous sign. Patterns in derivative are not of the kind that precede big moves to the upside.

The forecast I made on July 31, turned out to be close to perfect. The significance to that, again, is that it confirms that the market is rigged to go higher to the greatest degree possible. Why, I am not that good at making short term forecasts. Hardly anyone is, perhaps no one.  The forecast from last week is below.

http://fantasyfreeeconomics.com/wpadmin/drawing-in-shorts-to-goose-the-stock-market/

I have been completely right since the beginning of the year. When a market is rigged, it is easy to figure out what it is going to do. It is  most important to know what the riggers want it to do. With the stock market, organized crime and government have a symbiotic relationship. They work together and both benefit.

I frequently point out that there is no patriotism with respect yo the mob. They will leave the arena rapidly as soon as the Federal Reserve can no longer guarantee them profitable risk free trades.  Unless, the Central Banks buy all of the excess stock that hits the market, the mob could cut and run any day now. The drop could be catastrophic when that happens. Most Americans will loose close to everything they own. There are too many variables to be more precise than that.

The probability of an unforeseen exogenous upset occurring is increases. Fantasy Free Economics is the science of survival. That is different than Ivy League economics, which is based in fantasies and euphemisms.  I discuss markets constantly and not all of them are money based.  Democracy is a market for representatives or leaders,

When the elite, organized crime, media and government thwart the will of voters they are destroying a market. A highly significant facet of democracy is that when democracy works perfectly, it is a substitute for violence. In money based markets, that principle works also. Violence is greatly reduced when markets are free.

Democracy is not functioning anywhere in the world except somewhat in England. In the United States, the past week has been devoted to squelching the will of voters. People from the president on down have been trying to undo what voters did in the Republican primary. When people have no voice in government, violence breaks out. Leaders see war as more reasonable since citizens have no influence over them.

Always be on the alert for riots and terroristic acts. Chances are increasing that a foreign nation will launce an attack on the U.S.A.

There are two scenarios that might might take the market down next week. Of course, the mob might cut and run.  Violence may begin, either in that we will be attacked, riots or terrorism.  The Fed/Mob arrangement is losing the tools it has always had to work with.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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About Fantasy Free Economics

James Quillian independent scholar,free market economist,and teacher of natural law. Who is James Quillian? Certainly I am nobody special, Just a tireless academic and deep thinker. Besides that, I have broken the code with respect to economics and political science. Credentials? Nothing you would be impressed with. I am not a household name. It is hard to become famous writing that virtually no one in the country is genuinely not in touch with reality. But, if I did not do that, there would be no point in my broking the broken the code. If you read the blog, it is easy to see that there are just a few charts, no math and no quantitative analysis. That is not by accident. Given what I know, those items are completely useless. I do turn out to be highly adept at applying natural law. Natural law has predominance over any principles the social science comes up. By virtue of understanding natural law, I can debunk, in just a few sentences , any theory that calls for intervention by a government. My taking the time to understand the ins and outs of Keynes General Theory is about like expecting a chemistry student to completely grasp all that the alchemists of the middle ages thought they understood in efforts to turn base metals into goal. Keynesian theory clearly calls for complete objectivity. Government can only make political decisions. Keynesian techniques call for economic decisions. So, why go any further with that? Fantasy Free Economics is in a sense a lot like technical analysis. Technical analysis began with the premise that it was impossible to gain enough information studying fundamentals to gain a trading advantage. Study the behavior of investors instead. Unlike technical analysis, I don't use technical charts. What I understand are the incentives of different people and entities active in the economics arena. For example, there is no such thing as an incentive to serve with life in the aggregate. In the aggregate, only self interest applies. It is routinely assumed otherwise. That is highly unappealing. But, I am sorry. That is the way it is. I can accept that because I am genuinely in touch with reality. Step one in using Fantasy Free Economics is for me to understand just how little I really know. A highly credentialed economist may know 100 times what I do based on the standard dogma. Compare the knowledge each of us has compared to all there is to know and we both look like we know nothing at all. There is always more than we don't know than what we do know. I am humble enough to present myself on that basis. Why? That is the way it is. I am not bad at math. I have taught math. What I understand is when to use it and when to rely on something else. Math is useless in natural law so I don't use it. While others look at numbers, I am busy understanding the forces in nature that makes their numbers what they are. That gives me a clear advantage.

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