Ahead of the Fed

Talk ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting is that the central bank may make noise about increasing rates. Americans are trained to believe government, especially the Federal Reserve, have magical powers. Such beliefs are easy to come by since human beings are hard wired to serve kings and prone to worship those they elect instead of exercising authority over them.
The Federal Reserve has been able to reduce interest rates because there has been no natural force causing them to move higher. If demand for money for buying plant and equipment was high or if borrowers were defaulting on loans in high numbers, rates would move up regardless.
Thinking errors abound. Credentials are universally accepted as competence, even when those who own credentials go their entire lives without making a single accurate forecast or implementing a successful policy. No matter what, citizens are going to believe these folks are highly adept.
Economists like Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke experience the kind of success alchemists in the middle achieved when trying to turn base metals into gold. Kings were excited about the work the alchemists were doing and leaders today hang on every word that comes from a Federal Reserve Chairman. Neither has ever had even a little success in accomplishing the tasks they have attempted.
What I am expecting this week out of the Open Market Committee are emerging face saving initiatives. The public is starting gain awareness, that there has been no economic stimulus and that they have been robbed blind instead. It is human nature to believe anything coming from authority but there is one caveat. The believers must be comfortable. Americans are beginning to suffer some on account of all of the money that has been stolen from them by Fed policy. They are also learning that their chances of doing well in the future are greatly reduced.
Another thinking error is that of insisting that all are innocent until proven guilty. As true as that is in a court of law it is destructive to use that logic in day to day life. Only sociopaths have the manipulative skills to gain an appointment to the Open Market Committee. There is not an honest bone in any of the bodies who participate in Federal Reserve meetings.
Americans are starting to figure these things out. I expect face saving efforts to begin accelerating.

Music For The Hard Times Coming

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About Fantasy Free Economics

James Quillian independent scholar,free market economist,and teacher of natural law. Who is James Quillian? Certainly I am nobody special, Just a tireless academic and deep thinker. Besides that, I have broken the code with respect to economics and political science. Credentials? Nothing you would be impressed with. I am not a household name. It is hard to become famous writing that virtually no one in the country is genuinely not in touch with reality. But, if I did not do that, there would be no point in my broking the broken the code. If you read the blog, it is easy to see that there are just a few charts, no math and no quantitative analysis. That is not by accident. Given what I know, those items are completely useless. I do turn out to be highly adept at applying natural law. Natural law has predominance over any principles the social science comes up. By virtue of understanding natural law, I can debunk, in just a few sentences , any theory that calls for intervention by a government. My taking the time to understand the ins and outs of Keynes General Theory is about like expecting a chemistry student to completely grasp all that the alchemists of the middle ages thought they understood in efforts to turn base metals into goal. Keynesian theory clearly calls for complete objectivity. Government can only make political decisions. Keynesian techniques call for economic decisions. So, why go any further with that? Fantasy Free Economics is in a sense a lot like technical analysis. Technical analysis began with the premise that it was impossible to gain enough information studying fundamentals to gain a trading advantage. Study the behavior of investors instead. Unlike technical analysis, I don't use technical charts. What I understand are the incentives of different people and entities active in the economics arena. For example, there is no such thing as an incentive to serve with life in the aggregate. In the aggregate, only self interest applies. It is routinely assumed otherwise. That is highly unappealing. But, I am sorry. That is the way it is. I can accept that because I am genuinely in touch with reality. Step one in using Fantasy Free Economics is for me to understand just how little I really know. A highly credentialed economist may know 100 times what I do based on the standard dogma. Compare the knowledge each of us has compared to all there is to know and we both look like we know nothing at all. There is always more than we don't know than what we do know. I am humble enough to present myself on that basis. Why? That is the way it is. I am not bad at math. I have taught math. What I understand is when to use it and when to rely on something else. Math is useless in natural law so I don't use it. While others look at numbers, I am busy understanding the forces in nature that makes their numbers what they are. That gives me a clear advantage.

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