How the Algos Work

No math is needed. Math is good but it is not needed here. Formulas are complex but it takes very complex formulas to describe the simplest of ideas. Mostly algorithms correctly assume that no matter what, traders will rely on traditional trading dogma. One of those dogmas is to take a position when a trendline is broken Notice on the chart how a short term trendline on a major average was broken. In old world trading, which is still the standard, support has given way and a new down leg is beginning. Algos will encourage the breaking of a trendline just to draw in shorts to be squeezed. Any time a major average breaks a trendline, expect a short squeeze to follow.

Notice the major toping pattern on the chart. That is the goal line of the central banks, the algos, corporate buy backs, corporate insiders and all who work together to keep stock prices rising. If this goal line is broken, the running of this political agenda becomes much more difficult and success is less uncertain. Breaking this topping pattern to the downside is going to be fought with every tool available. Earnings statements will be fraudulent. Announcement of earnings will be timed for the maximum benefit to the market. Without a rising stock market all economic growth will will halt. A bear market is a death sentence to the overall economy. Take away the cause of profits and the profits disappear.

There are signs that among all who cooperate, the ranks have been broken but not enough to kill the political agenda. There is no faster way to make a profit than to control government and use government to force up the value of everything you own. There is no faster way to become a billionaire than to use government to force consumers to buy a product or service.

The algos prosper by understanding human nature and exploiting natural behavior. People are prone to trust. They trust government. That accounts for the acceptance of official explanations and is the one weakness that permits the algos to operate with impunity. Basically the algos understand standard trading behavior. As a way to exploit all others. They draw traders into logical trades and make those trade profitable to themselves. The math involved may be mind boggling but what the math is used for is completely simple.

When laws are only enforce if there is a political benefit, if you can imagine a certain crime is being committed, rest assured that it is.

The Swamp My Puppy Dog and I is a new Curbside Jimmy tune.

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About Fantasy Free Economics

James Quillian independent scholar,free market economist,and teacher of natural law. Who is James Quillian? Certainly I am nobody special, Just a tireless academic and deep thinker. Besides that, I have broken the code with respect to economics and political science. Credentials? Nothing you would be impressed with. I am not a household name. It is hard to become famous writing that virtually no one in the country is genuinely not in touch with reality. But, if I did not do that, there would be no point in my broking the broken the code. If you read the blog, it is easy to see that there are just a few charts, no math and no quantitative analysis. That is not by accident. Given what I know, those items are completely useless. I do turn out to be highly adept at applying natural law. Natural law has predominance over any principles the social science comes up. By virtue of understanding natural law, I can debunk, in just a few sentences , any theory that calls for intervention by a government. My taking the time to understand the ins and outs of Keynes General Theory is about like expecting a chemistry student to completely grasp all that the alchemists of the middle ages thought they understood in efforts to turn base metals into goal. Keynesian theory clearly calls for complete objectivity. Government can only make political decisions. Keynesian techniques call for economic decisions. So, why go any further with that? Fantasy Free Economics is in a sense a lot like technical analysis. Technical analysis began with the premise that it was impossible to gain enough information studying fundamentals to gain a trading advantage. Study the behavior of investors instead. Unlike technical analysis, I don't use technical charts. What I understand are the incentives of different people and entities active in the economics arena. For example, there is no such thing as an incentive to serve with life in the aggregate. In the aggregate, only self interest applies. It is routinely assumed otherwise. That is highly unappealing. But, I am sorry. That is the way it is. I can accept that because I am genuinely in touch with reality. Step one in using Fantasy Free Economics is for me to understand just how little I really know. A highly credentialed economist may know 100 times what I do based on the standard dogma. Compare the knowledge each of us has compared to all there is to know and we both look like we know nothing at all. There is always more than we don't know than what we do know. I am humble enough to present myself on that basis. Why? That is the way it is. I am not bad at math. I have taught math. What I understand is when to use it and when to rely on something else. Math is useless in natural law so I don't use it. While others look at numbers, I am busy understanding the forces in nature that makes their numbers what they are. That gives me a clear advantage.