How the United States Will Lose the Next War

It is not a foregone conclusion that a major war is in our near future. If we fight the war we seem to be starting, we will lose. That is not a wish. That is just the way it will turn out. The American people have nothing to gain. The average person has no use for or interest in forming a world government. Based on military strength, no country in the world is a match for the United States. Absolute military power is not enough to win a war. Wars can be won and nothing can be gained. We have been fighting those kinds of wars for a long time. That was the nature of the Iraq and Afghanistan wars.

There is a story about the fastest rabbit in the world and the best rabbit hunting dog having an encounter. All bets were on the dog. He had never failed to catch a rabbit he was chasing. When it was over, the dog was asked why the rabbit got away. The dog said, “We have to be realistic. I was hunting for sport. The rabbit was running for his life.”  The American people have nothing to gain by going to war at this particular time in history.  Any resolve on the part of the general population will disappear rapidly. The danger Americans face is the probability their government will put them in harms way for no good reasons. The morale of our troops will diminish.

Our intelligence community is bought and paid for by interests other than the American people. Chances are our intelligence is not as good as it is assumed to be. How good will their intelligence be? We don’t know. Our intelligence agencies are so corrupt, there is no way to tell the veracity of anything they tell us.

Russia and China have far more to lose than we do. They will not fight us on our terms. They will seek out advantages and situations where technology is not that important. For certain all who our leaders treat as enemies are putting a lot of thought into the situation. There is no guarantee, there won’t be a strike on our own soil. Probably the other side will draw us into a ground war where the mere size of armies makes the most difference. During WWII Russia took unfathomable casualties and still prevailed against Germany. They will draw us into situations where U.S. casualties will be certain. If the war takes place, we will lose.

The world will fight against the United States in a way the world fought against Germany in the 1940s. I remember watching a news show while we were invading Iraq in 2003. Someone mentioned civilian casualties. One of the guests said “Citizens are responsible for what their government does.” This was a panel discussion.  Not one person on the panel took exception to that statement. I wonder how a panel of news people will respond to statements like that when it is American civilians getting killed?

 

This entry was posted in Daily Comments on by .

About Fantasy Free Economics

James Quillian independent scholar,free market economist,and teacher of natural law. Who is James Quillian? Certainly I am nobody special, Just a tireless academic and deep thinker. Besides that, I have broken the code with respect to economics and political science. Credentials? Nothing you would be impressed with. I am not a household name. It is hard to become famous writing that virtually no one in the country is genuinely not in touch with reality. But, if I did not do that, there would be no point in my broking the broken the code. If you read the blog, it is easy to see that there are just a few charts, no math and no quantitative analysis. That is not by accident. Given what I know, those items are completely useless. I do turn out to be highly adept at applying natural law. Natural law has predominance over any principles the social science comes up. By virtue of understanding natural law, I can debunk, in just a few sentences , any theory that calls for intervention by a government. My taking the time to understand the ins and outs of Keynes General Theory is about like expecting a chemistry student to completely grasp all that the alchemists of the middle ages thought they understood in efforts to turn base metals into goal. Keynesian theory clearly calls for complete objectivity. Government can only make political decisions. Keynesian techniques call for economic decisions. So, why go any further with that? Fantasy Free Economics is in a sense a lot like technical analysis. Technical analysis began with the premise that it was impossible to gain enough information studying fundamentals to gain a trading advantage. Study the behavior of investors instead. Unlike technical analysis, I don't use technical charts. What I understand are the incentives of different people and entities active in the economics arena. For example, there is no such thing as an incentive to serve with life in the aggregate. In the aggregate, only self interest applies. It is routinely assumed otherwise. That is highly unappealing. But, I am sorry. That is the way it is. I can accept that because I am genuinely in touch with reality. Step one in using Fantasy Free Economics is for me to understand just how little I really know. A highly credentialed economist may know 100 times what I do based on the standard dogma. Compare the knowledge each of us has compared to all there is to know and we both look like we know nothing at all. There is always more than we don't know than what we do know. I am humble enough to present myself on that basis. Why? That is the way it is. I am not bad at math. I have taught math. What I understand is when to use it and when to rely on something else. Math is useless in natural law so I don't use it. While others look at numbers, I am busy understanding the forces in nature that makes their numbers what they are. That gives me a clear advantage.