Stock Market Post Nice and Post Dallas

Fantasy Free Economics Most Recent Stock Market Commentary 12/27/16

imagesI have said in other posts that the time will come when economies around the world have sustained so much damage that central bank buying won’t be able to hold the stock market up. I don’t have a way to tell when that time will be. It may be Monday. Shorting is still extremely dangerous, Your broker wants to run your stop and the friends of the Fed want to squeeze you. Both are likely to get what they want.

On Monday expect, as always, the central banks to stop at nothing to prevent a decline. There are two forces that account for what little economic growth the economy has experienced. One is the incredibly tenacious and  stubborn stupidity of the American public. The other is the spending the rich do given the enormous welfare benefits they are paid by virtue of government’s ongoing asset enhancement initiatives. Political power is shifting. Foreign markets are not close to new highs.

All of this is extremely damaging to the long term viability of the economy. The market can decline if enough stock hits the market on any given day. This is not likely because investors are trained to make a wait and see, somebody will save me decision.  Chances are the Friends of the Fed will soon cut and run because profit opportunities are drying up. There are a number of things the mob does not do. One is take financial risks.  The other is to look after anyone other than  themselves. If the Federal Reserve can no longer take care of the mob, the mob will no longer have any reason to look after the Fed. They are not patriots. When the mob cuts and runs, the market will crash, no matter what.

The following are links to previous market posts. These may be helpful in providing some background.

http://fantasyfreeeconomics.com/wpadmin/stock-market-coming-week/
http://fantasyfreeeconomics.com/wpadmin/stock-market-post-brexit-vote/

  The Grazin’ Is Good Is a fine tune by Curbside Jimmy.

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About Fantasy Free Economics

James Quillian independent scholar,free market economist,and teacher of natural law. Who is James Quillian? Certainly I am nobody special, Just a tireless academic and deep thinker. Besides that, I have broken the code with respect to economics and political science. Credentials? Nothing you would be impressed with. I am not a household name. It is hard to become famous writing that virtually no one in the country is genuinely not in touch with reality. But, if I did not do that, there would be no point in my broking the broken the code. If you read the blog, it is easy to see that there are just a few charts, no math and no quantitative analysis. That is not by accident. Given what I know, those items are completely useless. I do turn out to be highly adept at applying natural law. Natural law has predominance over any principles the social science comes up. By virtue of understanding natural law, I can debunk, in just a few sentences , any theory that calls for intervention by a government. My taking the time to understand the ins and outs of Keynes General Theory is about like expecting a chemistry student to completely grasp all that the alchemists of the middle ages thought they understood in efforts to turn base metals into goal. Keynesian theory clearly calls for complete objectivity. Government can only make political decisions. Keynesian techniques call for economic decisions. So, why go any further with that? Fantasy Free Economics is in a sense a lot like technical analysis. Technical analysis began with the premise that it was impossible to gain enough information studying fundamentals to gain a trading advantage. Study the behavior of investors instead. Unlike technical analysis, I don't use technical charts. What I understand are the incentives of different people and entities active in the economics arena. For example, there is no such thing as an incentive to serve with life in the aggregate. In the aggregate, only self interest applies. It is routinely assumed otherwise. That is highly unappealing. But, I am sorry. That is the way it is. I can accept that because I am genuinely in touch with reality. Step one in using Fantasy Free Economics is for me to understand just how little I really know. A highly credentialed economist may know 100 times what I do based on the standard dogma. Compare the knowledge each of us has compared to all there is to know and we both look like we know nothing at all. There is always more than we don't know than what we do know. I am humble enough to present myself on that basis. Why? That is the way it is. I am not bad at math. I have taught math. What I understand is when to use it and when to rely on something else. Math is useless in natural law so I don't use it. While others look at numbers, I am busy understanding the forces in nature that makes their numbers what they are. That gives me a clear advantage.

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