The Trump Stock Market

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Anytime there is a reason for the market to go down it goes up instead. That is not an accident and it is not a natural phenomenon. It is an income and asset transfer. Government is a business and its clients are those with enormous political power. There will be another huge rally next week when the Federal Reserve announces an interest rate increase.

Quantitative Easing, Federal Reserve policy and central planning in general have no other purpose than to pay corporate insiders as much as possible in the shortest period of time. How is this accomplished? Corporations borrow newly created money (virtually interest free) and buy their own stock.  Earnings per share increase when the number of shares outstanding declines. Corporations also borrow to pay dividends.

Why is this bad for you? It isn’t if you own stock and sell before the whole system unravels. The only way corporations can borrow so cheaply is if savers are paid interest that is many times lower than what they would be entitled to in a free market.  Savers are suckers, not for saving, but because they are not aware of how and how much they are being fleeced by government policy.  As the suffering gets worse the motivation to understand its cause will become stronger. That is the most likely scenario.

In a certain amount of time, it will become impossible for corporations to show any earnings growth at all. As the general population becomes poorer the market for all goods and services will disappear.

Donald Trump has probably signaled that the stock market won’t be cut off.  I expect the stock market to be strong for the rest of the year. The public is buying like a bunch of mad men now. There are not enough small investors to absorb all of the equities the elite need to sell but they will unload as much as possible into these naive weak hands.

How long can public opinion be managed?  It is becoming more difficult to manage right now. Big time selling will begin as economic stress climbs the income ladder. We are at the point now where folks like medical doctors are starting to wonder why their lifestyles are getting harder to maintain. The misery needs to climb just a little higher to reach insiders of lower rung corporations. The breadth of the stock market is already weak. My advice to people is to sell every stock you own and hold cash. That is what I am doing.

James Quillian
The World’s Best Economist

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About Fantasy Free Economics

James Quillian independent scholar,free market economist,and teacher of natural law. Who is James Quillian? Certainly I am nobody special, Just a tireless academic and deep thinker. Besides that, I have broken the code with respect to economics and political science. Credentials? Nothing you would be impressed with. I am not a household name. It is hard to become famous writing that virtually no one in the country is genuinely not in touch with reality. But, if I did not do that, there would be no point in my broking the broken the code. If you read the blog, it is easy to see that there are just a few charts, no math and no quantitative analysis. That is not by accident. Given what I know, those items are completely useless. I do turn out to be highly adept at applying natural law. Natural law has predominance over any principles the social science comes up. By virtue of understanding natural law, I can debunk, in just a few sentences , any theory that calls for intervention by a government. My taking the time to understand the ins and outs of Keynes General Theory is about like expecting a chemistry student to completely grasp all that the alchemists of the middle ages thought they understood in efforts to turn base metals into goal. Keynesian theory clearly calls for complete objectivity. Government can only make political decisions. Keynesian techniques call for economic decisions. So, why go any further with that? Fantasy Free Economics is in a sense a lot like technical analysis. Technical analysis began with the premise that it was impossible to gain enough information studying fundamentals to gain a trading advantage. Study the behavior of investors instead. Unlike technical analysis, I don't use technical charts. What I understand are the incentives of different people and entities active in the economics arena. For example, there is no such thing as an incentive to serve with life in the aggregate. In the aggregate, only self interest applies. It is routinely assumed otherwise. That is highly unappealing. But, I am sorry. That is the way it is. I can accept that because I am genuinely in touch with reality. Step one in using Fantasy Free Economics is for me to understand just how little I really know. A highly credentialed economist may know 100 times what I do based on the standard dogma. Compare the knowledge each of us has compared to all there is to know and we both look like we know nothing at all. There is always more than we don't know than what we do know. I am humble enough to present myself on that basis. Why? That is the way it is. I am not bad at math. I have taught math. What I understand is when to use it and when to rely on something else. Math is useless in natural law so I don't use it. While others look at numbers, I am busy understanding the forces in nature that makes their numbers what they are. That gives me a clear advantage.

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