Up No Matter What Days

With central banks at the helm, certain stock market days are of the up no matter what variety. Up no matter what days consist of squeezing shorts, assuring corporate buy back buyers the Fed has their back and if necessary, central banks buying the balance to make sure it all goes up no matter what.

Ordinary herdsters never override their reptilian brains. Until there is nothing left of them but a bloody pulp, they treat all stock market price movements as organic. As long as friends of the Fed are operating at a profit, there really is no way to short a stock, place a stop and make a profit. If you are a retail trader, your firm is an open book with respect to the friends of the Fed who run your stops. Guess what, your firm wants your stop to be run.

The highly esteemed minds of traders cannot fathom that more goes on outside of the formal system than ever takes place within it. The dialog off the record between the Fed, friends to the Fed, corporate buyers and foreign central banks is constant. Laws are enforced selectively and ignored depending on who it is who is violating them.

So, when does one go short? Until friends of the Fed cut and run there will no way to make a profitable short sale. When will they cut and run? They won’t as long as the Federal Reserve can guarantee them risk free profits. Corporate buybacks will also continue as long as they are convinced the Fed has their backs.

 

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About Fantasy Free Economics

James Quillian independent scholar,free market economist,and teacher of natural law. Who is James Quillian? Certainly I am nobody special, Just a tireless academic and deep thinker. Besides that, I have broken the code with respect to economics and political science. Credentials? Nothing you would be impressed with. I am not a household name. It is hard to become famous writing that virtually no one in the country is genuinely not in touch with reality. But, if I did not do that, there would be no point in my broking the broken the code. If you read the blog, it is easy to see that there are just a few charts, no math and no quantitative analysis. That is not by accident. Given what I know, those items are completely useless. I do turn out to be highly adept at applying natural law. Natural law has predominance over any principles the social science comes up. By virtue of understanding natural law, I can debunk, in just a few sentences , any theory that calls for intervention by a government. My taking the time to understand the ins and outs of Keynes General Theory is about like expecting a chemistry student to completely grasp all that the alchemists of the middle ages thought they understood in efforts to turn base metals into goal. Keynesian theory clearly calls for complete objectivity. Government can only make political decisions. Keynesian techniques call for economic decisions. So, why go any further with that? Fantasy Free Economics is in a sense a lot like technical analysis. Technical analysis began with the premise that it was impossible to gain enough information studying fundamentals to gain a trading advantage. Study the behavior of investors instead. Unlike technical analysis, I don't use technical charts. What I understand are the incentives of different people and entities active in the economics arena. For example, there is no such thing as an incentive to serve with life in the aggregate. In the aggregate, only self interest applies. It is routinely assumed otherwise. That is highly unappealing. But, I am sorry. That is the way it is. I can accept that because I am genuinely in touch with reality. Step one in using Fantasy Free Economics is for me to understand just how little I really know. A highly credentialed economist may know 100 times what I do based on the standard dogma. Compare the knowledge each of us has compared to all there is to know and we both look like we know nothing at all. There is always more than we don't know than what we do know. I am humble enough to present myself on that basis. Why? That is the way it is. I am not bad at math. I have taught math. What I understand is when to use it and when to rely on something else. Math is useless in natural law so I don't use it. While others look at numbers, I am busy understanding the forces in nature that makes their numbers what they are. That gives me a clear advantage.