Big Economic Threat

human-sheep-herding-2 Ask a herdster economist what business model has produced the greatest income in the U.S. lately and you will get buried with lofty answers. I will tell you that it is human herding, mostly by social media companies. Early on in the computer technology era entrepreneurs started noticing the profit potential of organising aggregations of people  and charging others for the privilege of placing an ad in front of them and enticing them to click the mouse.

The ease of reaching huge aggregations of people has made it possible to manage the opinions and choices people make. People are perfectly willing to be herded. That is part of the human condition but there is still a problem tech companies face. Even in a herding situation, people are not completely  helpless. Over time people develop a tolerance to suggestions given them and it gets hard to sell them things. Where the internet is concerned it gets increasingly hard to get folks to click the mouse.

Opportunities in human herding are kind of like the gold rush of 1849. There was gold in California. Countless resources were expended by thousands. all who thought they could get rich. Only a few did. There are no new herding opportunities. The internet advertising industry is over saturated with suppliers. Few people click and hardly a soul buys.

Because quantitative easing  has grossly mis-allocated the countries resources, there is an over supply of goods and services consumers are no longer interested in buying. The oil industry has already given way. Money will start coming out of social media firms and other human herding operations. When this starts happening it will be devastating to the general economy.

The business cycle is completely necessary for the efficient functioning of an economy. A life without suffering is not possible. Suffering is minimised in a free market system.  The notion that government should try and prevent recessions is nothing but folly.

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About Fantasy Free Economics

James Quillian independent scholar,free market economist,and teacher of natural law. Who is James Quillian? Certainly I am nobody special, Just a tireless academic and deep thinker. Besides that, I have broken the code with respect to economics and political science. Credentials? Nothing you would be impressed with. I am not a household name. It is hard to become famous writing that virtually no one in the country is genuinely not in touch with reality. But, if I did not do that, there would be no point in my broking the broken the code. If you read the blog, it is easy to see that there are just a few charts, no math and no quantitative analysis. That is not by accident. Given what I know, those items are completely useless. I do turn out to be highly adept at applying natural law. Natural law has predominance over any principles the social science comes up. By virtue of understanding natural law, I can debunk, in just a few sentences , any theory that calls for intervention by a government. My taking the time to understand the ins and outs of Keynes General Theory is about like expecting a chemistry student to completely grasp all that the alchemists of the middle ages thought they understood in efforts to turn base metals into goal. Keynesian theory clearly calls for complete objectivity. Government can only make political decisions. Keynesian techniques call for economic decisions. So, why go any further with that? Fantasy Free Economics is in a sense a lot like technical analysis. Technical analysis began with the premise that it was impossible to gain enough information studying fundamentals to gain a trading advantage. Study the behavior of investors instead. Unlike technical analysis, I don't use technical charts. What I understand are the incentives of different people and entities active in the economics arena. For example, there is no such thing as an incentive to serve with life in the aggregate. In the aggregate, only self interest applies. It is routinely assumed otherwise. That is highly unappealing. But, I am sorry. That is the way it is. I can accept that because I am genuinely in touch with reality. Step one in using Fantasy Free Economics is for me to understand just how little I really know. A highly credentialed economist may know 100 times what I do based on the standard dogma. Compare the knowledge each of us has compared to all there is to know and we both look like we know nothing at all. There is always more than we don't know than what we do know. I am humble enough to present myself on that basis. Why? That is the way it is. I am not bad at math. I have taught math. What I understand is when to use it and when to rely on something else. Math is useless in natural law so I don't use it. While others look at numbers, I am busy understanding the forces in nature that makes their numbers what they are. That gives me a clear advantage.

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